Analyst Says Raising Minimum Wage Could Drive Up Prices Of Goods And Services

Higher baseline wages could initially expand the disposable income of lower-earning households.

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A proposal to increase Malaysia's monthly minimum wage from RM1,700 to RM2,000 would boost earnings for low-wage earners, but it risks driving up consumer costs as businesses pass higher operating expenses onto goods and services

The proposed RM2,000 baseline represents a 17.6% surge in minimum pay, according to Berita Harian. However, labour productivity grew by only 4.3% to 4.8% per hour during the first quarter of 2026, according to a technical analysis report by Mohd Sedek Jantan, Director of Investment Strategy and Country Economist at IPP Wealth Managers Ltd.

This mismatch creates a distinct productivity gap that businesses must absorb through various operational adjustments. Companies may be forced to accept slimmer profit margins, pass expenses to consumers through higher retail prices, replace labour with capital automation, or adjust overall workforce demand.

SAYS.com

Mohd Sedek Jantan.

Image via New Straits Times

Higher baseline wages could initially expand the disposable income of lower-earning households, who typically exhibit a higher tendency to spend

This increased cash flow can stimulate immediate domestic consumption across the retail, food, and consumer goods sectors.

The net benefit to real purchasing power, however, depends heavily on how much of the added labour expense is passed on to consumers. Price increases are likely to be more pronounced in labour-intensive services, where wages constitute a major share of operating costs.

The economic ripple effects are also expected to reach workers positioned slightly above the minimum wage tier

Employers may need to adjust pay structures for staff currently earning between RM2,100 and RM2,300 to maintain appropriate wage differentials based on skill level and seniority.

For a firm employing 10 minimum-wage workers, raising the baseline from RM1,700 to RM1,900 increases annual base payroll costs by RM24,000.

Raising the threshold further to RM2,000 increases annual payroll costs by RM36,000, excluding additional statutory contributions such as the Employees Provident Fund (EPF), SOCSO, and the Employment Insurance System (EIS).

The findings highlight a widening gap between wage growth and productivity gains

An RM1,900 minimum wage scenario reflects an 11.8% wage increase against a 4.8% hourly productivity growth (a 7.0 percentage point gap), while the RM2,000 scenario reflects a 17.6% wage hike against a 4.3% per-worker productivity growth (a 13.3 percentage point gap).

Economists stress that these gaps do not predict immediate job losses, but rather structural realignments. To cope, firms may reduce overtime hours, freeze new hiring, lower profit margins, or leave vacated positions unfilled.

Ultimately, sustainable wage growth relies on increasing the economic value produced by each worker, requiring national productivity initiatives to progress alongside minimum wage revisions.

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